Pre-tourney Rankings
East Tennessee St.
Atlantic Sun
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.4#324
Expected Predictive Rating-8.2#293
Pace65.3#224
Improvement-1.7#247

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#287
Improvement+0.7#138

Defense
Total Defense-6.9#327
Improvement-2.4#287
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2012 160   @ Virginia Tech L 62-80 9%     0 - 1 -14.3 -14.6 +1.0
  Nov 17, 2012 278   Tennessee Tech L 62-65 45%     0 - 2 -13.2 -11.3 -2.0
  Nov 20, 2012 189   @ Charleston Southern W 59-57 11%     1 - 2 +4.0 -3.4 +7.8
  Nov 23, 2012 101   @ Georgia L 38-54 5%     1 - 3 -8.2 -14.8 +0.9
  Dec 05, 2012 182   @ James Madison L 45-70 10%     1 - 4 -22.7 -20.8 -4.2
  Dec 08, 2012 26   @ North Carolina L 55-78 1%     1 - 5 -7.2 -17.5 +13.0
  Dec 14, 2012 32   @ Mississippi L 55-77 2%     1 - 6 -7.0 -15.9 +10.7
  Dec 18, 2012 189   Charleston Southern L 51-72 25%     1 - 7 -25.4 -21.8 -4.5
  Dec 22, 2012 18   Arizona L 53-73 2%     1 - 8 -6.4 -15.6 +9.7
  Dec 23, 2012 192   Hawaii L 61-84 17%     1 - 9 -24.3 -20.3 -1.7
  Dec 25, 2012 136   San Francisco L 49-67 11%     1 - 10 -15.9 -16.2 -2.9
  Jan 02, 2013 20   Virginia Commonwealth L 58-109 3%     1 - 11 -40.8 -17.7 -17.3
  Jan 05, 2013 304   @ Lipscomb L 56-60 30%     1 - 12 0 - 1 -10.1 -11.1 +0.3
  Jan 07, 2013 258   @ Northern Kentucky W 49-44 20%     2 - 12 1 - 1 +2.5 -6.0 +10.4
  Jan 10, 2013 243   Stetson L 70-72 37%     2 - 13 1 - 2 -9.9 +5.9 -16.2
  Jan 12, 2013 140   Florida Gulf Coast W 85-75 18%     3 - 13 2 - 2 +8.4 +15.8 -6.9
  Jan 17, 2013 138   @ Mercer L 59-78 7%     3 - 14 2 - 3 -14.1 -9.9 -4.4
  Jan 19, 2013 336   @ Kennesaw St. W 70-60 49%     4 - 14 3 - 3 -1.2 -1.3 +1.0
  Jan 24, 2013 296   Jacksonville L 80-83 52%     4 - 15 3 - 4 -14.9 +2.1 -17.0
  Jan 26, 2013 257   North Florida W 89-75 40%     5 - 15 4 - 4 +5.2 +11.4 -6.0
  Jan 28, 2013 214   @ South Carolina Upstate L 71-88 13%     5 - 16 4 - 5 -16.4 -5.6 -10.1
  Jan 31, 2013 258   Northern Kentucky L 68-70 40%     5 - 17 4 - 6 -10.9 +1.2 -12.4
  Feb 02, 2013 304   Lipscomb W 90-88 OT 54%     6 - 17 5 - 6 -10.5 -4.0 -6.8
  Feb 07, 2013 140   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 43-67 7%     6 - 18 5 - 7 -19.1 -26.5 +7.1
  Feb 09, 2013 243   @ Stetson W 62-61 17%     7 - 18 6 - 7 -0.4 -8.7 +8.3
  Feb 14, 2013 336   Kennesaw St. W 79-70 73%     8 - 18 7 - 7 -8.7 -2.4 -6.4
  Feb 16, 2013 138   Mercer L 54-71 18%     8 - 19 7 - 8 -18.5 -10.0 -11.4
  Feb 21, 2013 257   @ North Florida L 64-77 19%     8 - 20 7 - 9 -15.3 -11.4 -3.9
  Feb 23, 2013 296   @ Jacksonville W 61-58 28%     9 - 20 8 - 9 -2.5 -9.3 +7.1
  Mar 01, 2013 214   South Carolina Upstate L 56-88 30%     9 - 21 8 - 10 -37.9 -18.4 -20.9
  Mar 07, 2013 243   Stetson L 46-67 26%     9 - 22 -25.7 -28.5 +2.2
Projected Record 9.0 - 22.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%